Now that the Iran nuclear negotiations could no longer be assessed in a vacuum, but rather as a subset of larger global political challenges such as the Ukraine War, along with the slow but steady escalation of tensions between China and the West, it makes sense to reframe the negotiations on a three level game.
Level I– the global arena
Level II- the negotiations on updating the JCPOA
Level III- the domestic stakeholders on P5+1 and Iran
Describe and discuss how the global tension impact the relations between P5+1 on Level I and impact the Iran negotiations on Level II in Geneva. What are the linkage issues? Does it expand or narrow the winset for the actors? who benefits or loses more due to the global escalation of tension? should we still maintain some sort of hope for the future of the negotiations? why or why not?
